| Wouldn’t you know it, on my very next trip to Las Vegas, to cover and play in the Rio Carnivale of Poker II, it turned out that my vision of Casino Self Defense had a lot more practical application than I’d ever imagined. I arrived in town on Sunday, January 17, the day of the NFL title games (Atlanta-Minnesota and Denver-NY Jets), and decided I would watch them in the Sports Book at Caesars Palace. Caesars is one of several absolutely marvelous Vegas sports books, offering the sportsaholic every game imaginable on countless large and small screens. It’s a real treat to watch an event like the NCAA basketball tournament in a sports book like Caesars' providing you don’t suffer whiplash from trying to follow so many games simultaneously. I didn’t fade any betting action on the games, because I didn’t have a strong opinion on the Denver game, and I was biased in the other, having lived in Atlanta for 18 years (although I’m a Californian now), and one of the best sports betting rules I ever learned is "stay away from games where you have an emotional attachment." It’s just too hard to separate your heart from your head, and that can lead to several problems: First, you’ll bet on what you want to have happen, rather than on what you think will happen, and that means you’re swimming upstream. Second, the point spread can mean you get the result your heart wants but you lose money, ruining an otherwise great afternoon. For example, as a loyal Michigan grad, I attended the 1998 Rose Bowl, and watched my Wolverines grab a share of the National Championship. But had I been betting, I’d have been in agony during the game’s final moments. Michigan, favored by 6 points, was leading by 5 with less than a minute left, and had the ball at Washington State’s 33 yard line, when a 4 th down situation came up. A field goal would put Michigan up by 8, covering the spread and setting up overtime even if WSU could score a touchdown and make the two-point conversion. Nonetheless, as a non-bettor, I saw plenty of risk in the field goal attempt Michigan lined up for. It was long, so if it missed, WSU would get decent field position. Long field goals also get blocked more easily. I found myself hoping that Michigan would use its fake field goal play and punt the ball deep…and that’s exactly what happened! The ball bounced deep into WSU territory, additional time ran off the clock, and thanks to that time and yardage, Michigan survived WSU’s late drive—barely. I was THRILLED, because the play helped my team win the game, but if I’d been betting, I’d have had conflicting goals. My Michigan loyalty would have won out, of course, but having to pay off a bet would have soured the result a little. There’s less potential for self-conflict when the team you love is GETTING points, because then a winning pointspread bet can help take some of the sting out of the loss. But I wonder just how consoled the WSU fans were by their winning bets. They wanted the game, not a pointspread win. Getting back to Caesars' Sports Book, I wanted to watch there because I take a perverse pleasure in watching games where everyone else has a lot of money on the line, and NFL playoff games are especially sweet, because there are so many unusual bets offered. Bets such as quarter and half over-under, quarter-by-quarter pointspread action, and other proposition bets mean that money is changing hands constantly. If you love to watch the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat on someone else’s face, a sports book’s the place. Sadly, a few hundred other folks had had exactly the same idea, and I couldn’t get a good seat. The best I could do was a spot in the Keno Lounge. Fortunately I was forced to make only one Keno bet during the afternoon, a reasonable rental price for my chair. Caesars' Keno Lounge isn’t ideally situated for watching sporting events, because people who wander through can stand right in front of you. My fellow Loungers and I took turns asking these folks to move, and we had no problems until the middle of the second game. A well-dressed, well-built young guy wandered in front of us, and it was my turn to ask the next intruder to move, so I went up to him, and VERY politely (I’d had plenty of practice by now) I said, "Excuse me sir, could you possibly shift a little to one side or the other, you’re standing right in front of where we are sitting." |
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