| Many books/sites that discuss money management will tell you to only wager 2-5% of your bankroll on any one play. I cannot say what the magic number is and I certainly do not have any magic formulas for picking winners or telling you how much to bet. However, it is very clear to me after years and years of watching some players win consistently and others lose consistently that these are the four worst traps to avoid. Keep your bets to reasonable, affordable and consistent amounts and your bankroll will last a long time. Even more importantly, if you can pick more than 52.4% winners, you will come out ahead of the book in the long run and that is the only time frame that matters! The last three games were hard on the house as both the Arizona and NC Wilmington games fell right on the line and then Kansas beat Stanford easily to end the day with a big win for the bettors. Overall three games went the House's way, one was balanced, two were pushes and two were losses. With 4 of the 8 games falling within a basket of the spread, there were lots of winning teaser/buy points tickets, and the day finished up slightly to the players' advantage. Sunday ended up being the House's turn to lose. Public and sharp action was split on UCLA/Cincinnati, Texas/Mississippi State, Southern Illinois/Georgia and Wisconsin/Maryland. The public went 4-0 on the day with plays on Illinois (-10.5), UConn (-2), Pitt (-3.5) and Oklahoma (-7). The sharp bettors didn't have as great of a day, cashing in on Illinois and Oklahoma, but losing on Cal against Pittsburgh. With three games landing within a bucket of the spread and a fourth within 5, it was another good day to tease or buy points. The only game total of the weekend to get really lopsided action was the very last game, and the sharp bettors missed by just a basket as the Wisconsin/Maryland game total finished Under 145 with a total score of 144. For the weekend, 22 of 39 lopsided games (on the spread) went in the House's favor and 15 went to the players (two were pushes). Biggest win for the House was Maryland not covering against Siena on Friday night, and biggest loss was a tie between Notre Dame on Thursday and Kansas on Saturday night. Overall Kent was very pleased with both the handle and his profits, despite giving up a little on Sunday. After getting a little sleep Monday morning, he is back on full alert and ready for another big weekend. Summary When a game is submitted for consideration, it undergoes an evaluation for these qualities. It is far from an exact science and there is no way the process can be rigorously defined. Unlike an Olympic skating contest, there are no pre-set rules which can apply to the myriad of games people invent. Some of these essential qualities can be evaluated by the inventor just by objectively looking at the game from the viewpoint of what the player or casino manager would see. Others can be rated by simply playing the game repeatedly with several participants. A ballpark estimate of a game's mathematical and statistical qualities can be derived from casual play in which the results are recorded. Exact analysis of the house PC can usually be derived only from computer play by simulation of many hands, usually in the millions. This can cost several thousands of dollars, depending on the type of game. It will be necessary before the game can be submitted for official field testing, but the wrinkles in the rules should be discovered and fixed before going into costly analysis. Finally, remember that reviewers are on your side always, hoping that the product will be capable of succeeding. Don't fall so much in love with "YOUR BABY" that you can't take constructive criticism. It is a rare game that is perfect right from its inception. What plays well for toothpicks in your home town, may be a great game, but it might need lots of polishing to make it casino-quality. We hope we have helped you--Good Luck! Why should a full house pay 8- or 9-for-1 while the straight pays 4-1 and the flush 5-for-1, when we'll make more full houses (1 in 87 hands) then either straights or flushes? We'll make about the same number of straights as flushes, so why the premium on those flushes, when they both come up about once every 90 hands? At the upper end of the pay table, things are even more confused. The 25-for-1 payout on quadruplets is a mite light when compared to the full house when we recall that those quads occur only once for every five full houses! |
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